Early-stage ARR feasibility engine

Early-stage ARR feasibility engine for carbon projects.

Understand whether your project is viable before committing serious time and capital. Carbon Roots helps developers, landowners, originators, and climate-finance teams screen viability early, identify risks before execution, and avoid wasted development cost.

Commercial positioning

Pre-feasibility is cheaper than developing a non-viable project.

Early-stage Indicative Screening-level Pre-feasibility Decision-support

Clarity of offer

A focused screening layer between idea and full project development.

Carbon Roots is designed for the early stage, where key assumptions are still uncertain and decisions need to be made quickly. The objective is simple: determine whether an ARR pathway looks commercially worth pursuing.

It is decision-focused, risk-aware, and built for practical action, not abstract analysis.

What this helps you decide

  • Proceed now with clearer confidence
  • Proceed conditionally with targeted data improvement
  • Pause before avoidable cost and execution risk

Carbon Roots engine

Structured system workflow in seven concise steps.

Core services

Focused analysis for ARR pre-feasibility and early viability.

ARR pre-feasibility assessment

Structured screening of concept quality, assumptions, and delivery constraints.

Indicative sequestration modelling

Conservative estimation with proxy species or regional parameters where required.

Risk-adjusted issuance views

Buffer, leakage, and delay logic with P50/P90 style issuance framing.

Financial viability screening

Revenue scenarios, NPV, IRR, payback, and sensitivity on price/yield/timing.

Risk and data-gap assessment

Clear visibility on assumptions that could break project viability.

Investment-readiness support

Decision-support outputs for developer, partner, and investor conversations.

Stack

Engine core + structured analysis layers.

  • Proprietary ARR modelling engine (Excel-based core)
  • Structured calculations aligned to ARR methodology principles (including VM0047-style logic)
  • Scenario engine for low/mid/high price and yield assumptions
  • Risk-adjusted issuance modelling with P50/P90 logic
  • Sensitivity analysis layer for key commercial drivers

Supporting tools and method posture

Supporting tools

Geospatial inputs (where available), data structuring pipelines, and dashboard-ready schema outputs for BI tools.

Positioning

Designed as a screening-level analytical layer today, built to evolve into a more automated ARR modelling workflow.

What you get

Tangible outputs you can use to make a real decision.

Feasibility summary (PDF/memo)

Clear go / no-go / conditional view with key assumptions and recommendation.

Carbon projections

Estimated total credits, annual issuance curve, and scenario comparisons.

Financial outputs

Revenue scenarios, NPV, IRR, payback period, and key sensitivities.

Risk and data-gap assessment

What is uncertain, what needs validation, and what could break project viability.

Optional structured model

Editable Excel-based model with investor-ready assumptions structure.

Dashboard-ready dataset (optional)

Clean schema suitable for Looker or other BI workflows.

Typical turnaround: 3-7 days for standard pre-feasibility, 7-14 days for more complex or data-heavy projects.

Example output

Concept project: ARR screening output

Illustrative pre-feasibility output from the Carbon Roots engine.

NPV

Not available

Base scenario

IRR

Not available

Base scenario

Total Credits

Not available

Base scenario

Break-even Price

Not available

Screening estimate

Payback Period

Not available

Screening estimate

Projected revenue

Projected credit issuance

Trust and credibility

Methodology-aware, robustly structured, and built for early-stage decisions.

  • Model structure built around methodology-aligned ARR principles at screening level.
  • Outputs stress-tested through conservative assumptions, risk adjustments, and scenario analysis.
  • Designed to surface uncertainty, data gaps, and commercial pressure points early.

Validation approach

How robustness is built in

The model uses methodology-aligned logic, structured assumptions, and downside testing to produce disciplined screening outputs rather than optimistic headline numbers.

Scope boundary

This remains a screening-level decision-support tool, not validation, verification, registry approval, investment advice, or guaranteed returns.

Contact

Share your project and get an early-stage viability view.

Minimum inputs: country/region, land area, land type, project concept, and timeline expectations. Preferred inputs include boundaries, species intentions, prior studies, and implementation assumptions.

Project intake

Request a Project Snapshot

Provide a few key details about your project. You do not need exact inputs — missing values will be estimated using regional and project-specific benchmark assumptions.

Contact Information

Required Inputs

These are the minimum inputs needed to run the model.

Step 1 of 8

Optional Inputs

These improve accuracy. If not provided, Carbon Roots will apply regional and project-specific benchmark assumptions.

Where optional inputs are not provided, Carbon Roots uses benchmark assumptions based on project type, geography, and land context.

Most carbon projects fail because feasibility is not tested under real pricing and delivery conditions.

We work with incomplete data. Part of this process is identifying what is missing.